If the vaccination drive in the country would not ramp up and proper behaviour is not maintained then there is the possibility that the third wave of coronavirus may hit the country in the next five to six months, said M Vidyasagar, a scientist involved in the Sutra Model. However, he said that Sutra Model has not predicted the third wave and is working on it.
Vidyasagar said, “If the antibodies are lost, then there is a chance of immunity going down, In this case, vaccination has to ramp up and Covid-19 appropriate behaviour must be practised. If not then there would be a third wave in the next six to eight months.”
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He further said, “We are also adding aspects of immunity and vaccination in our model for our future forecasts.”
According to the study by San Rafaela Hospital, Milan, the antibodies produced in the Covid-19 patient remained in the body until six to eight months and then there are possibilities to get reinfected. The same was suggested by the Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology (IGBI) in a recent survey.
According to the IGBI research paper, “Using a stringent measure, the loss of neutralization may be even higher. We speculate that this may be related to recurrence of outbreaks in March 2021, after a peak in September 2020.”
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K VijayRaghvan on May 5 stated that the virus mutates the third wave of coronavirus is unavoidable that’s why the country must prepare itself for the new wave. And later he said that there may not be the third wave of coronavirus infection if strong and necessary measures are taken at the state, district, and city level.
In a press statement, K VijayRaghav told, “If we take strong measures, the third wave may not happen in all places or indeed anywhere at all. It depends on how effectively guidance is implemented at the local level in the state, districts, and cities.”
“The guidance about precautions, surveillance, containment, treatment and tests, this insidious asymptomatic transmission can be stopped if we follow the guidelines. This sounds difficult but we can and must do it”, he added.
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