New Delhi: Total number of new cases reported on Sunday was much less than those which were reported on Saturday. On Sunday, 43,071 new coronavirus cases were registered and 955 deaths were added to the report.
The country's cumulative tally reached from 4,02,005 to 3,05,45,433 fatalities. The number of deaths crossed a serious mark of 4lakh deaths on Friday, after Brazil and the US.
The recovery rate increased by 97.09% and the active cases decreased. The ministry said that in the previous 24 hours the cases of recovery have outnumbered the active case hold for the 52nd consecutive day and over 52,000 patients recovered.
Also read: India: 44,111 new Covid cases, 57,477 recoveries, and 738 deaths in last 24 hours
Meanwhile according to a scientist of a government panel tasked with modeling COVID-19 cases and determined that there are chances that the Third-wave could hit India in October-November just in case the Covid guidelines are not followed properly but the chances of this happening are less as the number of cases is recovering at a really fast pace.
He, however, added the third wave could spread faster if any new virulent variant emerges. Manindra Agarwal, involved in the "Sutra Model" which is the mathematical projection of the trajectory of COVID-19, also mentioned in the model that it has three scenarios--optimistic, intermediate, and pessimistic--for the prediction of the third wave.
Dr. NK Arora, the chief of the Centre's Covid-19 working group, on Sunday said that the third wave of coronavirus could be delayed until December this year. "ICMR has come up with a study, which says the third wave will come late in the country," Dr Arora said.
Also Read: 'Covid third wave may see half the cases reported during second wave', says top experts
The chairman of the central panel said,” We have a period of 6 to 8 months to vaccinate everybody in the country.” This clearly states that how important vaccination is and is the only safeguard from this dangerous virus.
Professor Agarwal tweeted, "We have created three scenarios. One is optimistic one. In this, we assume that life goes back to normal by August, and there is no new mutant. Second is intermediate one. In this we assume that vaccination is 20% less effective in addition to optimistic scenario assumptions,"
"Third is pessimistic one. This has one assumption different from the intermediate one: a new, 25% more infectious mutant spreads in August (it is not delta+, which is not more infectious than delta)," he added in the same series of tweets.
Professor Agarwal then posted as the bottom line: "If there is no significantly faster spreading mutant, the third wave will be a ripple. And if there is such a mutant, the third wave will be comparable to the first one. However, if there is an immunity-escape mutant, all the above scenarios will be invalid!"
The highest record of the second wave was on May 7, where India recorded 4,14,188 covid cases.
Professor Agarwal, who works with IIT-Kanpur, said that India is in a better position than the UK as India because the second wave was caused due to delta. And he replied, "So a lot of people are now immune against delta unlike the UK" which as a matter of fact.
As everything is opening up, what can be done to prevent the third wave from affecting Indians from the third wave is that people don’t get lenient with all the government guidelines and Covid prevention rules.
So stay safe and follow all the regulations so that not only you but everyone around you stays safe and unaffected.