Malwa as the deciding factor also seems to be a problem for Congress this time. There is a huge contest of almost 50 between AAP and Congress. Dera Sacha Sauda is also proving to be an important factor in votes.
Doaba is shown as a stronghold for Congress but this time Doaba region is also proving to be a waterloo for congress. BJP and AAP are also playing well in the region this time and Akali Dal is also creating obstacles for Congress.
In Majha, AAP and SAD are also ruining the game for Congress. AAP seems to be paving the way for huge support this time.
Political parties worked hard to win voters in the Punjab assembly elections, but this time the voters are in the mood to surprise the people. Many well-known figures will suffer significant losses in this election. A quiet voter will play the most important role this time. Only the voter is deciding factor.
This time, the Congress party is likely to suffer the greatest damage, and no one else but Congress is to blame. During the campaign, the congressional think tank was unable to decide on its line and length. There was uncertainty and chaos in and out of the party.
Malwa: AAP's support, Akali's Cadre Advantage.
Malwa has 69 of the 117 seats in the Punjab Legislative Assembly. Congress won in 2017, but this time the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) looks better here. The Congress is seen in a contest on one seat here this time.
Like the previous elections, AAP is ahead in all three seats of Barnala. Charanjit Singh Channi is also seen trapped in a tough contest in Barnala's Bhadaur seat. There is a triangular contest in 25 of the 49 seats in Ludhiana, Faridkot, Sangrur, Moga, Bathinda, Muktsar, Mohali, Fazilka, Ropar, Malerkotla, Fatehgarh Sahib, and Mansa districts. There is a face-to-face contest in 15 seats, while a four-cornered contest is visible in 9 seats.
Majha: Stronghold of Congress
The Congress won 22 of Majha's 25 seats in the 2017 elections, but this time AAP is making a dent in its bastion. Here 21 seats are in Pathankot, Gurdaspur, and Amritsar districts and BJP is looking strong in 5 to 7 seats. In Majha too, this time the voter wants 'change' like Malwa and AAP can get its benefit here.
In this area, farmers contesting elections has had no substantial effect. Amritsar East, Punjab's hottest seat, is also in Majha, where Punjab Congress head Navjot Sidhu is up against Akali Dal's Bikram Majithia. Both of these leaders have never lost an election in their political careers, and this can be their first.
Doaba: Do or Die Situation
In Doaba, there are 23 seats in the Punjab Legislative Assembly, and there is voter hostility of Congress. Except for Congress, all other parties have a chance to increase their seats in Doaba this time. Manoranjan Kalia, KD Bhandari, and Mohinder Bhagat are BJP candidates in Jalandhar. Vijay Sampla is a contender from Phagwara, although he is up against BSP candidates. The Congress has withdrawn its sitting MLA Angad Singh from the Nawanshahr seat. Angad Singh ran as an independent, and the Congress has suffered as a result. Akali Dal is expected to win 5-6 seats in Doaba, just as it did in 2017.
AAP power in villages, and BJP in cities
In Punjab's rural districts, the Aam Aadmi Party appears to be gaining ground. Although the state's rural voters are less educated, they are politically aware. He's talking about sweeping the broom this time as he talks about making the change. When it comes to Dalits, their situation is better than in states like Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Maharashtra, and their mentality is more evolved than Dalits in other states. He would have voted more wisely if he could.
The BJP's graph has risen somewhat in the last 4-5 days of campaigning in Punjab. The manner Prime Minister Narendra Modi surrounded the opposition parties and interacted with voters by hosting three rallies in just four days has inspired party leaders and members. The BJP can profit from vote division if it can maintain its vote bank protected in urban regions.