On Friday morning the PM Modi shared a video message with citizens in which he said, “Please switch off the lights of your house — and then either at the door, or in the balcony of your house, please light a candle, a diya, or flash the mobile phone light. That light will show that no one is alone."
However, Modi also emphasised importance of social distancing and said while lighting a candle or diya no one should gather outside or go out on the streets.
What the concern of power grid managers?
Since the PM Modi announced nation-wide lockdown on March 25, the power grid has already seen a drastic dip in demand and this time with switching off all lights across the country at same time could lead to power fluctuation on the grid.
A sudden change in grid frequency could lead to a potential power blackout with a dip of 30% in demand for power due to the absence of commercial activity in the wake of the 21-day lockdown across the country.
Apparently, the Union power ministry data for April 2 show that peak demand stood at 125.8 GW amid the lockdown to contain the spread of novel coronavirus which is 25% lower than 168.3 GW for the same day last year.
Experts have also warned about the possible adverse impact of millions of households switching off, and then switching on, lights on Sunday night almost simultaneously.
“This is absolutely unprecedented. If this is effectively implemented, then we are looking at an impact of 10-15GW of load going down and coming back again which will have a very severe impact on the grid. I am not aware of any event before leading to such a sharp fluctuation before,” Vinay Rustagi, managing director at renewable energy consultancy Bridge to India Energy Private Limited, said.
Rustagi said it will need careful management and replanting. “They will have to judicially use hydro and gas power plants to come back and curtail risk,” he added.
What does the power ministry say?
It has been pointed out by the Union power ministry that the PM Modi has appealed people to just switch off lights in their houses. However, street lights or appliances like computers, televisions, fans, refrigerators and ACs in homes will run, as usual, it said.
"Some apprehensions have been expressed that it may cause instability in the grid and voltage fluctuation, which may harm electrical appliances. These apprehensions are misplaced," it said.
“The Indian electricity grid is robust and stable and adequate arrangements and protocols are in place to handle the variation in demand,” it said.
“The lights in hospitals and all other essential services like public utilities, municipal services, offices, police stations, manufacturing facilities, etc will remain on. The call given by Hon’ble PM is to just switch off lights in residences. All local bodies have been advised to keep the street lights on for public safety,” it said.
How authorities are preparing for it?
Union power ministry officials have said they are confident of managing the situation on Sunday night.
Union power minister RK Singh and senior officials from Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL) and grid operator POSOCO National Load Despatch Centre have met to make a plan to deal with the situation.
“The minister discussed the issue with PGCIL and load dispatcher in the meeting. Since we are in an unprecedented situation with low demand during the lockdown, we are closely monitoring the health of the grid. They have said they are confident of managing the grid stability for the event and have been told to ensure blackout doesn’t occur,” a senior official who doesn't want to be named said.
Another government official was quoted saying, “We are making arrangements since the event is known to us in advance. The current peak load of the country stands at around 120GW; of this domestic household lighting comprises of 12-15 GW and we will need to manage and monitor this 15GW of fluctuation."
On the other hand, several states are also planning and preparing to ensure there is no pressure on the grid during that nine-minute period across the country.
State grid managers of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh along-with their respective state load despatch centres (SLDCs) are preparing for sudden dip and surge in their power grids. They have issued advisories to their respective electricity boards.
It has been predicted by the Uttar Pradesh load despatch centre that there will be a 3000MW sharp load reduction in the state starting 9pm on Sunday, according to a report. It also suggested that load shedding operations could be started in a staggered manner at 8pm on Sunday and keep generation at a technical minimum which will be ramped back up after the scheduled blackout of nine miniutes.
Has this happened before?
India had witnessed severe power outages due to the collapse of northern and eastern electricity transmission grid in July 2012.
“This is unlike the blackout of 2012 which resulted in the failure of the grid. Since they know the exact timing, it will be easy to manage the grid,” an industry expert said, according to news agency.
“Moreover, only households will switch off the lights. However, other establishments and street lights will continue to draw electricity during that time,” the expert added.